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Athletic Bilbao vs Atletico Madrid

Expert Analysis: Athletic Bilbao vs Atletico Madrid

The upcoming clash between Athletic Bilbao and Atletico Madrid is highly anticipated, given the fierce rivalry and historical context between these two Spanish giants. As we approach the match date of December 6, 2025, betting markets offer a plethora of insights into potential outcomes. Athletic Bilbao, known for their strong home advantage at San Mamés, will be eager to leverage this against a formidable Atletico Madrid side. Conversely, Atletico Madrid will look to disrupt Bilbao’s rhythm with their tactical prowess and experienced squad. This match promises to be a tactical battle, with both teams likely prioritizing defensive solidity while looking to capitalize on counter-attacking opportunities.

Prediction Insights

  • Both Teams Not To Score In 1st Half: 84.80% – Given the defensive strategies both teams are likely to employ, it is expected that the first half will be cautious, with neither team scoring.
  • Both Teams Not To Score In 2nd Half: 80.50% – The trend of tight defending is anticipated to continue into the second half, maintaining a low-scoring affair.
  • Under 2.5 Goals: 68.30% – The overall expectation is for a match with limited goals, as both sides focus on maintaining defensive discipline.
  • Under 5.5 Cards: 73.40% – With strict refereeing expected, the number of cards issued is likely to remain below average.
  • Away Team Not To Score In 2nd Half: 71.50% – Atletico Madrid may struggle to find the back of the net in the latter stages due to Bilbao’s solid defense.
  • Away Team To Score In 1st Half: 71.50% – There’s a chance for Atletico Madrid to score early in the game, taking advantage of any lapses in Bilbao’s defense.
  • Over 0.5 Goals HT: 66.00% – Despite defensive expectations, at least one goal in the first half is considered likely.
  • Over 1.5 Goals: 65.80% – A slightly higher probability exists for at least two goals being scored throughout the match.
  • Under 4.5 Cards: 65.90% – The disciplined nature of both teams suggests fewer cautions will be given.
  • Both Teams To Score: 55.70% – While less likely than other outcomes, it’s possible both teams will manage to find the net.
  • Home Team To Score In 2nd Half: 56.30% – Athletic Bilbao might break through defensively in the second half to secure a win or draw.
  • Home Team Not To Score In 1st Half: 63.00% – It’s probable that Athletic Bilbao will not score in the first half due to cautious play.

Additional statistical insights reveal an average total goal expectation of 3.71, with yellow cards averaging at 1.91 and red cards at 0.77 per match. The sum of goals likely being either two or three stands at a significant probability of 51.60%. Furthermore, predictions suggest that if there is an early goal, it could occur between minutes zero and twenty-nine (56.30%), while if there is a last goal, it might happen between minutes zero and seventy-two (50.90%).

Athletic Bilbao

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Atletico Madrid

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Date: 2025-12-06
Time: 20:00
(FT)
Venue: San Mames
Score: 1-0

Predictions:

MarketPredictionOddResult
Both Teams Not To Score In 1st Half84.80%(1-0) 0-0 1H 1.17
Both Teams Not To Score In 2nd Half80.50%(1-0) 1-0 2H 1.30
Under 2.5 Goals68.30%(1-0) 1.73
Under 5.5 Cards73.40%(1-0) 5 cards 1.38
Away Team Not To Score In 2nd Half71.50%(1-0)
Away Team To Score In 1st Half71.50%(1-0)
Over 0.5 Goals HT66.00%(1-0) 0-0 1H 1.50
Over 1.5 Goals65.80%(1-0) 1.38
Under 4.5 Cards65.90%(1-0) 5 cards 1.73
Both Teams To Score55.70%(1-0) 1.91
Home Team To Score In 2nd Half56.30%
Home Team Not To Score In 1st Half63.00%(1-0)
Avg. Total Goals3.71%(1-0)
Yellow Cards1.91%(1-0)
Avg. Goals Scored1.87%(1-0)
Avg. Conceded Goals1.74%(1-0)
Red Cards0.77%(1-0)
Sum of Goals 2 or 351.60%(1-0) 1.95
First Goal Between Minute 0-2956.30%(1-0) 1.83
Last Goal Minute 0-7250.90%(1-0)